NC Audit Finds Lottery Sales Rose to $6.6 Billion in FY2025 While Education Transfers Held Near $1.08 Billion
State Auditor Dave Boliek's performance audit reports the share of lottery sales sent to the Education Lottery Fund fell from 23% in fiscal 2023 to 16% in fiscal 2025, and asks lawmakers to decide whether the lottery's goal is total dollars or a target percentage.
The Sales Went Up. The Money Stayed Flat.
North Carolina's lottery took in $6.6 billion in gross sales in fiscal year 2025, up from $4.3 billion two years earlier — a jump of about 51%[3][6]. If you stopped there, it would sound like great news for the schools the lottery is supposed to fund. It isn't quite that simple.
The share of that money going to the Education Lottery Fund fell hard over the same two years, from 23% to 20% to 16%[1][4]. But the actual dollars barely moved: $1.02 billion in fiscal 2023, $1.09 billion in 2024, and $1.08 billion in 2025[6]. Sales grew by $2.3 billion. Schools got roughly $60 million more than they had two years before[6].
That gap between the two numbers — sales soaring, schools getting a rounding error's worth of extra money — is the whole story. State Auditor Dave Boliek released a performance audit on Tuesday, September 8, 2026, laying out exactly how that happened[1][7]. He didn't accuse anyone of breaking the law or mishandling funds. He asked a much harder question: what is the lottery actually supposed to maximize?
Why a $20 Bet Can Count as $100 in "Sales"
The audit points to one product: digital instant games, online scratch-off-style tickets the lottery commission approved in August 2023 and launched that November 15[9][10]. They sold zero dollars in fiscal 2023. Two years later they brought in about $2.60 billion, roughly 40% of everything the lottery sold[3][6].
Here's the mechanism that explains almost everything else in this story. Digital instants are designed to pay back about 87% of what players bet, as prizes[3][6]. A player who deposits $20 and wins can replay those winnings, win again, and replay again. Every one of those replays counts as a new "sale," even though the player never put in more than their original $20.
That means a game with a high payout rate can generate huge sales figures without generating much profit — because most of the money keeps getting handed back to players and re-wagered. Traditional paper scratch-offs pay out far less, so more of every dollar spent on them stays with the state[3][6]. When digital instants become a bigger share of total sales, the share of sales that turns into money for schools mechanically shrinks, even if the lottery is running exactly as designed.
State law says the lottery should send at least 38% of its revenue to schools. But the audit is explicit that this is a guideline the lottery must meet "to the extent practicable," not a hard requirement[2][7]. That legal detail matters, because it's the difference between "the lottery may be violating the law" and "the lottery is following a law that no longer describes what's happening."
"Probably Not What You Think It Is"
Boliek's office frames this as a matter of honesty with voters. His office's line, quoted widely: the Education Lottery is "probably not what you think it is"[2]. The argument isn't that anyone broke a rule. It's that a state agency has quietly shifted its business toward online, slot-machine-style games, and lawmakers have never gone back to ask whether that still matches what the lottery is for[2][7].
Lottery Executive Director Mark Michalko's written response makes the opposite case. Maximizing total dollars for schools and holding a fixed percentage aren't both achievable at the same time, he argued[3][7]. To hit 38%, the lottery would need to sell fewer high-payout games — the games players are choosing in growing numbers — and the actual dollar total handed to schools would likely fall, not rise[3][7]. He said the lottery works hard to maximize the real number that matters: total dollars returned for education[3][7].
Both readings of the same numbers are defensible, because they're measuring different things. Boliek is measuring the promise embedded in a percentage. Michalko is measuring the outcome embedded in a dollar figure. The audit doesn't pick a winner. It asks the General Assembly to decide which one the lottery should be chasing[1][3][7].
The Groups Who Warned About This in 2023
The digital instants fight isn't new. When the lottery commission approved the games in August 2023, an unusually broad coalition tried to stop it: then-Attorney General Josh Stein, police chiefs, the conservative NC Family Policy Council, the progressive NC Justice Center, the free-market John Locke Foundation, retail and fuel-marketer trade groups, and 32 members of the NC House Democratic Caucus[11]. That's a left-right alliance that rarely agrees on anything else.
Their objections split into two different concerns. Anti-gambling and consumer groups argued that fast-replay online games resemble the video sweepstakes machines still illegal to operate in North Carolina, and that this style of play raises rates of problem gambling, with all the downstream harm that research ties to it[11]. Retail and convenience-store groups had a narrower, commercial complaint: online play siphons customers away from the in-store ticket sales their members' commissions depend on[11].
For that coalition, the audit's 16% figure isn't a funding-formula puzzle. It's a state-generated number confirming the warning they gave three years ago[1][11]. Worth noting: the audit itself makes no findings at all about problem gambling rates. It's a financial audit, and this argument sits alongside it rather than inside it[1][7].
Why Nobody in Raleigh Wants to Touch This Fast
Underneath the dollars-versus-percentage argument sits a set of pressures pulling everyone toward inaction. Lottery money over $1 billion a year is revenue lawmakers never had to pass a tax to get[6]. Any fix that shrinks the dollar total creates a budget hole someone would have to fill another way — which is the quiet reason a hard percentage floor is a harder sell than it sounds[1][7].
There's also outside competition to consider. Mobile sports betting became legal in North Carolina on March 11, 2024, giving private operators a foothold on the same phones the lottery is trying to keep people playing on[8]. A lottery stuck selling only low-payout paper tickets would likely lose players to those apps, which is part of why digital instants were built in the first place[6][8].
Coverage of the audit split along fairly predictable lines. Conservative outlets like Carolina Journal and The Center Square led with Boliek's sharpest quote and gave little space to the payout-rate explanation[2][3]. Left-leaning NC Newsline and public broadcaster WFAE centered the shrinking school share, with WFAE's "share," not "money," framing among the more careful of the six outlets reviewed[1][5]. Business North Carolina read it as a product-mix story and left the 2023 gambling objections out entirely[6][11]. WRAL's center framing stuck closest to what the audit actually says[4].
None of that resolves the actual question the audit raises. The lottery has committed to reviewing the findings with its commission and meeting with General Assembly leaders about possible changes to the law[7]. Until lawmakers decide whether the lottery's job is to maximize total dollars, hit a fixed percentage, or balance both, the number that moves — and the one that doesn't — will keep pointing in opposite directions.
Summary
North Carolina's State Auditor, Dave Boliek, released a performance audit of the NC Education Lottery on Tuesday, September 8, 2026[1][7]. It found that lottery sales grew fast while the money reaching public schools did not. Gross sales rose from about $4.3 billion in fiscal year 2023 to $6.6 billion in fiscal year 2025 — an increase of roughly 51%[3][6]. Over the same stretch, the share of sales transferred to the Education Lottery Fund fell from 23% to 20% to 16%[1][4]. In dollars, transfers went from $1.02 billion to $1.09 billion, then slipped to $1.08 billion[6]. So sales grew by about $2.3 billion, and schools saw roughly $60 million more than two years earlier.
The audit points to one main cause: digital instant games. These are online scratch-off-style games the lottery commission approved in August 2023 and launched on November 15, 2023[9][10]. They sold nothing in fiscal 2023. By fiscal 2025 they brought in about $2.60 billion, roughly 40% of all lottery sales[3][6]. They are designed to pay back about 87% of what players wager as prizes[3][6]. Traditional draw games pay back far less. That is the heart of the arithmetic: when most of each dollar goes back out as prizes, less of each dollar is left for schools — even though players keep replaying their winnings, which pushes reported 'sales' higher.
State law says the lottery should transfer at least 38% of its total annual revenue to the Education Lottery Fund. The audit is explicit that the law adds the phrase 'to the extent practicable,' and that the 38% is a guideline rather than a hard requirement[2][7]. That distinction is the main point of genuine dispute. Boliek's office says the numbers show the state has drifted far from what voters were told the lottery was for, and that lawmakers should say plainly what the goal is[2][4]. Lottery Executive Director Mark Michalko wrote in the audit response that maximizing total dollars for education and holding a fixed percentage are not both achievable in a modern lottery, and said the lottery works hard to maximize dollars returned for education[3][7].
The audit does not accuse the lottery of breaking the law or mismanaging money. Its central recommendation is a policy question for the General Assembly: should the lottery chase the biggest possible dollar total, hold a minimum percentage, or balance the two under a clearer framework[1][3][7]?
The Event
On Tuesday, September 8, 2026, the North Carolina Office of the State Auditor released a performance audit of the North Carolina Education Lottery[1][7]. The audit reported that gross lottery sales rose from about $4.3 billion in fiscal year 2023 to $6.6 billion in fiscal year 2025, while the percentage of sales transferred to the Education Lottery Fund fell from 23% to 16%[3][6]. It identified the growth of digital instant games — which went from $0 in fiscal 2023 to about $2.60 billion in fiscal 2025 — as the largest driver of that change[3][6]. The audit recommended that lottery officials work with the General Assembly to clarify whether the state's primary goal is maximum dollars, a target percentage, or a balance of both[1][7]. Lottery Executive Director Mark Michalko responded in writing that those goals are not compatible in a modern lottery environment[3][7].
Undisputed Facts
- The State Auditor's office released the performance audit on Tuesday, September 8, 2026[1][7].
- Gross lottery sales rose from about $4.3 billion in fiscal year 2023 to $6.6 billion in fiscal year 2025[3][6].
- Transfers to the Education Lottery Fund were $1.02 billion in fiscal 2023, $1.09 billion in fiscal 2024, and $1.08 billion in fiscal 2025[6].
- The percentage of sales transferred to the Education Lottery Fund fell from 23% in fiscal 2023 to 20% in fiscal 2024 to 16% in fiscal 2025[1][4].
- Digital instant games generated $0 in fiscal 2023 and about $2.60 billion in fiscal 2025, roughly 40% of total sales[3][6].
- Digital instant games are designed with a payout rate of about 87%, meaning most of each dollar wagered is returned to players as prizes[3][6].
- State law sets a 38% transfer guideline that applies 'to the extent practicable'; the audit states it is a guideline, not a requirement[2][7].
- The lottery commission approved digital instants in August 2023 and the games launched November 15, 2023, with play limits of $505 daily, $2,000 weekly and $4,000 monthly and plays starting at 5 cents[9][10].
- The audit's central recommendation is that the lottery work with the General Assembly to clarify the state's primary policy objective[1][3][7].
The Pressure
Strip away the moralizing and blame. What structural realities persist regardless of which narrative wins?
- Gross sales is a broken yardstick for online games
- The 38% guideline was written for an era of paper tickets, where a sale was one dollar spent once. High-payout digital games recycle the same money many times, so recorded 'sales' can rise without a matching rise in what players actually lose — and it is player losses, not sales, that fund schools[3][6]. Both sides know this; they disagree on whether to fix the yardstick or the product.
- The state needs revenue without a tax vote
- Lottery transfers exceeding $1 billion a year are a politically painless revenue line[6]. Any policy that lowers the dollar total creates a hole lawmakers would have to fill some other way, which is the quiet constraint on a percentage floor[1][7].
- Competitive pressure from legal sports betting
- Mobile sports betting became legal in North Carolina on March 11, 2024, and private operators now compete for the same phone screen[8]. A lottery that keeps only low-payout paper games loses that competition, which is why digital instants exist[6][8].
- Retail channel cannibalization
- Convenience stores and fuel retailers earn commissions on physical tickets and formally opposed digital instants in 2023 for that reason, alongside their moral-objection allies[11]. The shift online moves money away from that channel regardless of how the education formula is resolved.
Material realityWhatever the framing, three numbers hold. Sales rose from about $4.3 billion to $6.6 billion in two years[3][6]. Transfers to schools were $1.02 billion, then $1.09 billion, then $1.08 billion — close to flat[6]. Digital instants went from nothing to about $2.60 billion, roughly 40% of sales, at an approximate 87% payout[3][6]. Public schools therefore received roughly the same amount of money in fiscal 2025 as in fiscal 2023, while far more gambling activity ran through the state's system. The audit makes no finding of illegality, no finding of mismanagement, and no finding about problem-gambling rates[1][7]. The decision it asks for belongs to the General Assembly, and nothing changes until lawmakers act[1][3][7].
Narrative as a weaponThree parties are shaping how this lands. Boliek's office wants readers to hold the 16% figure next to what they were told the lottery was for; its framing device is the gap between a statutory promise and current practice, and it benefits from most readers not knowing the 38% carries a 'to the extent practicable' qualifier[2][7]. The lottery wants readers to look at dollars instead of ratios, and its 87%-payout explanation is technically sound but conveniently also excuses the trend it is being asked about[3][6]. Anti-gambling groups on both the religious right and the progressive left, plus retail trade associations with a commercial stake, want the audit read as vindication of their 2023 warnings — even though the audit examined finances, not addiction[11]. Watch for the most common distortion in secondary coverage: writing 'less money is going to schools' when the audit shows a shrinking percentage and a roughly flat dollar total[1][6].
How Each Side Sees It
Each major actor’s view — how it frames things, its underlying incentive, and how it’s materially affected. Tap a side to read it.
Frames it asThe auditor's case is about honesty with the public. North Carolinians were sold a lottery whose purpose was schools, and state law still carries a 38% guideline[2][7]. Whatever the accounting reason, sales grew by about $2.3 billion in two years and the schools' cut moved by roughly $60 million[6]. Boliek's line — that the Education Lottery is 'probably not what you think it is' — is the argument in a sentence: a state agency has changed its product mix into online slot-style play without the legislature ever revisiting what the lottery is for[2]. His office does not claim illegality. It claims the goal in statute and the reality on the ground no longer match, and only lawmakers can fix that[1][7].
WhyBoliek is an elected Republican auditor who has built his office's profile on performance audits of state agencies. Surfacing a gap between a popular statutory promise and agency practice is squarely within that mission and carries clear political upside[2][4].
Impact on themThe audit puts the auditor's office at the center of a gambling-policy fight it can shape but not decide, since the recommendation hands the choice to the General Assembly[1][7].
Frames it asThe lottery's strongest argument is that the percentage is being measured against the wrong number. 'Sales' on a digital instant game are not comparable to sales of a $2 scratch-off. With an 87% payout, a player can deposit $20, win, replay the winnings, win again, and generate $100 of recorded 'sales' from the same $20[3][6]. High-payout games therefore inflate the sales figure that sits in the denominator, which mechanically drives the percentage down even when the lottery is doing exactly what a business would do to grow. Michalko's position is that maximizing total dollars for education and holding a fixed percentage are not both achievable at once: to hit 38% you would have to sell fewer high-payout games, which players demand, and the dollar total would likely fall[3][7]. He wrote that the lottery works hard to maximize dollars returned for education and shares the goal of transparency[3][7]. The lottery also notes it operates within limits set by the state, including a budget provision barring online casino-style table games[9].
WhyThe lottery is judged on total dollars delivered and on staying competitive with legal sports betting and offshore gambling apps. Digital instants are the fastest-growing product it has; a percentage floor would constrain its core growth strategy[3][6][8].
Impact on themA legislative percentage floor would force the lottery to change its product mix or its prize structure. Leadership has committed to reviewing the audit with the lottery commission and meeting with General Assembly leaders on possible legislative changes[7].
Frames it asLawmakers hold the actual decision. The audit asks them to pick among three objectives: maximum total dollars, a minimum percentage, or a defined balance[1][3][7]. Legislators who favor total dollars argue schools care about the check, not the ratio — $1.08 billion is $1.08 billion whether it is 16% or 38% of a bigger number[6]. Legislators who favor a percentage floor argue the ratio is the accountability device: without it, an agency can grow gambling indefinitely and call flat school funding a success[2][4]. The legislature has already drawn one line here, writing into the state budget a ban on offering casino-style table games online[9].
WhyLottery money is a politically convenient revenue source that avoids a tax vote. Tightening the formula risks shrinking it; leaving it alone risks owning the expansion of online gambling[9].
Impact on themAny change requires amending the lottery statute. General Assembly leadership is expected to meet with lottery officials on possible legislative changes[7].
Frames it asThis coalition says the audit confirms what they warned about, and that the education-share debate is the smaller issue. Their case in 2023 was that digital instants look and function like the video sweepstakes machines still illegal to operate in North Carolina, and let people lose money far faster than a paper scratch-off[10][11]. They argue online video gambling of this kind is unusually addictive and will raise rates of problem gambling, with knock-on effects they cite from decades of research: bankruptcy, embezzlement, domestic violence and suicide[11]. The 2023 opposition was unusually broad — then-Attorney General Josh Stein and police chiefs, the NC Family Policy Council, the NC Justice Center, the free-market John Locke Foundation, the NC Retail Merchants Association, the NC Petroleum & Convenience Marketers, and 32 members of the NC House Democratic Caucus all urged the commission to reject the games[11]. Retail and convenience-store groups had a distinct objection: online play cannibalizes the in-store ticket sales their members depend on[11].
WhyThe moral and public-health groups want the games rolled back or curbed. The retail and fuel-marketer groups want to protect commissions on physical ticket sales. They converge on the same policy ask for different reasons[11].
Impact on themThe audit gives them a state-generated number — 16% — to carry into the next legislative session, though the audit itself makes no findings about problem gambling[1][11].
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The Bias Ledger average rating 3.7
The same story, as framed by outlets across the spectrum, ordered least to most biased. The bias score (1 = straight, 10 = heavily spun) is an AI assessment of that framing — click an outlet to see its track record. The tell is the word choice or omission that reveals the angle.
| Outlet | Vantage | Bias | How they frame it | The tell |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WRAL | U.S. center (Raleigh commercial broadcaster) | 2 | 'NC auditor: It might be time to change the math as lottery sales soar, money to schools doesn't'[4]. | Attributes the judgment to the auditor and states the dollar-versus-percentage gap accurately. 'Soar' is doing light editorial work, but the underlying 51% sales increase supports it[4][6]. |
| WFAE | U.S. center-left (NPR member station) | 2 | 'Audit questions lottery funding formula as school share declines'[5]. | The most careful framing of the six: it says 'share,' not 'money,' and centers the formula question the audit actually asks. Uses the auditor's own recommendation as the news peg rather than a harm claim[5]. |
| Business North Carolina | U.S. center-right business trade press | 3 | 'Lottery's education payout dips as digital games surge'[6]. | Reads the story as a product-mix and margin story, which is analytically the clearest lens on the 87% payout mechanism. But the business framing treats the education share as an accounting outcome and leaves the 2023 problem-gambling objections out entirely[6][11]. |
| Carolina Journal | U.S. right (published by the free-market John Locke Foundation) | 5 | 'Boliek: Education Lottery "probably not what you think it is"' — leads with the auditor's most quotable line rather than the numbers[2]. | The frame is the broken promise to voters. The lottery's core rebuttal — that an 87% payout rate inflates the sales denominator — gets far less room than Boliek's characterization. Its publisher also formally opposed digital instants in 2023, which the piece does not disclose[2][11]. |
| The Center Square | U.S. right (Franklin News Foundation, conservative-funded nonprofit wire) | 5 | 'Audit: Digital instant games surging, yet hurting Education Fund transfers'[3]. | The word 'hurting' asserts causation about the dollar transfers, which were roughly flat rather than down sharply — $1.02B to $1.08B over two years[3][6]. The piece does carry Michalko's 'not compatible' response, which softens the score[3]. |
| NC Newsline | U.S. left (States Newsroom, progressive-funded nonprofit network) | 5 | 'New audit: NC Lottery sales up, but less is going to schools'[1]. | 'Less is going to schools' is true as a percentage and roughly false as a dollar figure — transfers ticked up from fiscal 2023[1][6]. The frame is school-funding shortfall; gambling-expansion concerns raised in 2023 by groups including the NC Justice Center are not the lead[1]. |
References
- New audit: NC Lottery sales up, but less is going to schools — NC Newsline · U.S. left; States Newsroom nonprofit network, progressive-aligned donors
- Boliek: Education Lottery 'probably not what you think it is' — Carolina Journal · U.S. right; published by the free-market John Locke Foundation, which itself opposed digital instants in 2023
- Audit: Digital instant games surging, yet hurting Education Fund transfers — The Center Square · U.S. right; Franklin News Foundation, conservative-funded nonprofit wire service
- NC auditor: It might be time to change the math as lottery sales soar, money to schools doesn't — WRAL · U.S. center; Raleigh commercial broadcaster owned by Capitol Broadcasting
- Audit questions lottery funding formula as school share declines — WFAE · U.S. center-left; NPR member station, listener- and foundation-funded
- Lottery's education payout dips as digital games surge — Business North Carolina · U.S. center-right; advertiser-supported state business trade magazine
- Auditor's report: slot machine type games driving lottery growth, impacting proceeds — WPTF · U.S. center-right; Raleigh commercial news-talk radio, Curtis Media Group
- North Carolina iGaming Market Research Report — iGamingToday · Gambling-industry trade publication; revenue tied to the operators it covers
- Another gambling expansion in NC as lottery approves digital instant games — WRAL · U.S. center; Raleigh commercial broadcaster
- Digital instants have arrived — North Carolina Education Lottery · Primary source; the audited agency's own announcement
- Attorney General and Police Chiefs Oppose 'Digital Instants' Online Gambling — NC Family Policy Council · Socially conservative Christian advocacy group; an opponent of the games, not a neutral source